April 21st, 2020 at 7:19 AM
Alright, now I'm starting to get slightly concerned.
My town released a new statement yesterday with a new confirmed cases count.
It was about 70 cases higher than the day before. Turns out (according to a statement posted by the Public Health director here), the chart I posted last time with growth was pretty linear because that's more or less the number of tests they could get through per day (of course subtracting the number of cases that came back negative from positive). But now for whatever reason, they got through seemingly three times more in a day than usual, and of course that brought its own new numbers.
I'm hoping it subsides for a while or goes back to the 'mean' if I can even use that term, but it's kinda sketchy.
We're at about 850 cases now. We'll probably break 1K by Saturday. 20/day until now, factoring in the possible multiplying of tests done.
All that negative shit being said, it's probably nice to hear that 42% of all the confirmed cases we've seen (cumulatively) have now recovered. From 850 total cases seen here, we've had 42% of those cases become 'resolved' or in other words, they've either been discharged from health facilities or have confirmed their own recovery. So we've had about 360 recoveries. And out of the 850 cases, we've had 25 deaths. So you'd think that's 3%, following the typical global average.
Except, it's more like seven. People who don't have corona anymore either recovered or died. In other words, there are still 850 - (360+25) = 465 cases out there
Pretty good, but keep in mind, if you're calculating the death rate out of the total people who have seen to the 'end' of their corona experience, that's more like a 6.5% death rate, more than double the initial statistic.
We'll see how it goes. I want more data than what's actually given on the datasheets they prepare every couple of days, so I'll see if there's an easy way to parse what is given to try and derive some stuff (i.e. rate of recovery, actual current cases based on cumulative - resolved, recovery vs. death rates, etc.)
I should buy myself a new Kindle or a bunch of games that are gonna drop on PSN on the 24th.
Gonna be locked up in here for a while, seems like. I was hoping we'd be on schedule for the curve to start falling like with other countries, but hey it might not be terrible.
My town released a new statement yesterday with a new confirmed cases count.
It was about 70 cases higher than the day before. Turns out (according to a statement posted by the Public Health director here), the chart I posted last time with growth was pretty linear because that's more or less the number of tests they could get through per day (of course subtracting the number of cases that came back negative from positive). But now for whatever reason, they got through seemingly three times more in a day than usual, and of course that brought its own new numbers.
I'm hoping it subsides for a while or goes back to the 'mean' if I can even use that term, but it's kinda sketchy.
We're at about 850 cases now. We'll probably break 1K by Saturday. 20/day until now, factoring in the possible multiplying of tests done.
All that negative shit being said, it's probably nice to hear that 42% of all the confirmed cases we've seen (cumulatively) have now recovered. From 850 total cases seen here, we've had 42% of those cases become 'resolved' or in other words, they've either been discharged from health facilities or have confirmed their own recovery. So we've had about 360 recoveries. And out of the 850 cases, we've had 25 deaths. So you'd think that's 3%, following the typical global average.
Except, it's more like seven. People who don't have corona anymore either recovered or died. In other words, there are still 850 - (360+25) = 465 cases out there
Pretty good, but keep in mind, if you're calculating the death rate out of the total people who have seen to the 'end' of their corona experience, that's more like a 6.5% death rate, more than double the initial statistic.
We'll see how it goes. I want more data than what's actually given on the datasheets they prepare every couple of days, so I'll see if there's an easy way to parse what is given to try and derive some stuff (i.e. rate of recovery, actual current cases based on cumulative - resolved, recovery vs. death rates, etc.)
I should buy myself a new Kindle or a bunch of games that are gonna drop on PSN on the 24th.
Gonna be locked up in here for a while, seems like. I was hoping we'd be on schedule for the curve to start falling like with other countries, but hey it might not be terrible.
